【讨论旋风】南太平洋旋风2020-Harold
TPPS11 PGTW 061453
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 06/1430Z
C. 16.23S
D. 169.23E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/7.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: W1.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. MG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET/PT AGREE.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
MARTIN
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 06/1430Z
C. 16.23S
D. 169.23E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/7.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: W1.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. MG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET/PT AGREE.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
MARTIN
TPPS11 PGTW 062113
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 06/2040Z
C. 16.39S
D. 169.90E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.5/6.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 25A/PBO SM EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG
YIELDS A DT OF 4.5. 1.0 ADDED FOR BF YIELDING A DT OF 5.5. MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RICHARDSON
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 06/2040Z
C. 16.39S
D. 169.90E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.5/6.5/W0.5/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 25A/PBO SM EMBD CNTR/ANMTN. LLCC EMBEDDED IN LG
YIELDS A DT OF 4.5. 1.0 ADDED FOR BF YIELDING A DT OF 5.5. MET
AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RICHARDSON
TXPS41 PHFO 061913 CCA
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1915 UTC MON APR 06 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD (25P)
B. 06/1700Z
C. 16.5S
D. 169.6E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T6.0/7.0/W0.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...CORRECTED CI VALUE. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY AND
EMBEDDED IN B WITH -0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT AND +0.5 BF YIELDS A DT OF
5.5. PT AND MET ARE 6.0. FINAL T BASED ON PT AND MET.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
TS
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1915 UTC MON APR 06 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD (25P)
B. 06/1700Z
C. 16.5S
D. 169.6E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T6.0/7.0/W0.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...CORRECTED CI VALUE. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY AND
EMBEDDED IN B WITH -0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT AND +0.5 BF YIELDS A DT OF
5.5. PT AND MET ARE 6.0. FINAL T BASED ON PT AND MET.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
TS
TXPS41 PHFO 062349
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2345 UTC MON APR 06 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD (25P)
B. 06/2300Z
C. 16.6S
D. 171.0E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.5/6.5/W1.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...LLCC LOCATED USING RECENT ASCAT PASS AND VIS SAT
ANIMATION. CENTER EMBEDDED IN B WITH +0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT YIELDS A
DT OF 5.5. PT AND MET AGREE. FINAL T BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
06/2201Z 16.5S 170.8E ASCAT
$$
TS
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2345 UTC MON APR 06 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD (25P)
B. 06/2300Z
C. 16.6S
D. 171.0E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.5/6.5/W1.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...LLCC LOCATED USING RECENT ASCAT PASS AND VIS SAT
ANIMATION. CENTER EMBEDDED IN B WITH +0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT YIELDS A
DT OF 5.5. PT AND MET AGREE. FINAL T BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
06/2201Z 16.5S 170.8E ASCAT
$$
TS
TPPS11 PGTW 070019
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 07/0000Z
C. 16.52S
D. 171.15E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.0/6.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. SUBTRACTED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, AND
ADDED 1.0 FOR BF, TO YIELD A DT OF 5.0.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RICHARDSON
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 07/0000Z
C. 16.52S
D. 171.15E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.0/6.0/W1.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. SUBTRACTED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, AND
ADDED 1.0 FOR BF, TO YIELD A DT OF 5.0.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RICHARDSON
At 11:00am local time, Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD [914hPa] Category 5, was
located at 16.6 degrees South 171.2 degrees East. This is about 320KM east
of Epi and 320KM east northeast of Efate. The system is positioned at the bottom
left of square letter K, number 6 (K,6) of the Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone Tracking
Map. Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD has been moving in an easterly direction at
29KM/HR (15Knots) in the past 3 hours. Maximum sustained winds close to the center
are estimated at 215KM/HR (115Knots).
located at 16.6 degrees South 171.2 degrees East. This is about 320KM east
of Epi and 320KM east northeast of Efate. The system is positioned at the bottom
left of square letter K, number 6 (K,6) of the Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone Tracking
Map. Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD has been moving in an easterly direction at
29KM/HR (15Knots) in the past 3 hours. Maximum sustained winds close to the center
are estimated at 215KM/HR (115Knots).
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD CENTRE 944HPA CATEGORY 4 WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6
SOUTH 171.2 EAST AT 070000 UTC.
POSITION GOOD.
REPEAT POSITION 16.6S 171.2E at 070000 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.
SOUTH 171.2 EAST AT 070000 UTC.
POSITION GOOD.
REPEAT POSITION 16.6S 171.2E at 070000 UTC.
CYCLONE MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 105 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE.
TPPS11 PGTW 072114
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 07/2050Z
C. 18.48S
D. 176.81E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG TO
YIELD A DT OF 5.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
07/1639Z 18.17S 175.47E SSMS
07/1654Z 18.08S 175.37E SSMS
07/1717Z 18.23S 175.65E MMHS
07/1819Z 18.28S 175.82E SSMS
RICHARDSON
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 07/2050Z
C. 18.48S
D. 176.81E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG TO
YIELD A DT OF 5.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
07/1639Z 18.17S 175.47E SSMS
07/1654Z 18.08S 175.37E SSMS
07/1717Z 18.23S 175.65E MMHS
07/1819Z 18.28S 175.82E SSMS
RICHARDSON
TPPS11 PGTW 080035
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 08/0000Z
C. 18.80S
D. 177.69E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. DG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A
DT OF 6.5. MET AND PT YIELD A 6.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RICHARDSON
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 08/0000Z
C. 18.80S
D. 177.69E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. DG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A
DT OF 6.5. MET AND PT YIELD A 6.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RICHARDSON
FKPS01 NFFN 080100
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20200408/0000Z
TCAC: NFFN
TC: HAROLD
ADVISORY NR: 2020/20
OBS PSN: 08/0000Z S1854 E17754
CB: WI 160NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL520
MOV: ESE 21KT
C: 952HPA
MAX WIND: 95KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 08/0600 S1948 E17948
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 08/1200 S2042 W17754
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 08/1800 S2142 W17536
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 85KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 09/0000 S2254 W17254
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 85KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20200408/0700Z
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20200408/0000Z
TCAC: NFFN
TC: HAROLD
ADVISORY NR: 2020/20
OBS PSN: 08/0000Z S1854 E17754
CB: WI 160NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL520
MOV: ESE 21KT
C: 952HPA
MAX WIND: 95KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 08/0600 S1948 E17948
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 08/1200 S2042 W17754
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 90KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 08/1800 S2142 W17536
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 85KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 09/0000 S2254 W17254
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 85KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20200408/0700Z