【讨论旋风】南太平洋旋风2020-Harold
TXPS41 PHFO 042338
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2338 UTC SAT APR 04 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.1E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EMBEDDED CENTER IN W YIELDS 5.0. NO BANDING FEATURE
ADDITION PER DVORAK RULES. DT IS THUS 5.0. MET IS ALSO 5.0. PT IS
4.5. FINAL T BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2338 UTC SAT APR 04 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.1E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EMBEDDED CENTER IN W YIELDS 5.0. NO BANDING FEATURE
ADDITION PER DVORAK RULES. DT IS THUS 5.0. MET IS ALSO 5.0. PT IS
4.5. FINAL T BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TXPS41 PHFO 042344 CCA
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES...COR
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2344 UTC SAT APR 04 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.1E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.0/5.5/D1.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EMBEDDED CENTER IN W YIELDS 5.0. NO BANDING FEATURE
ADDITION PER DVORAK RULES. DT IS THUS 5.0. MET IS ALSO 5.0. PT IS
4.5. FINAL T BASED ON DT. CORRECTED LINE F.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES...COR
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2344 UTC SAT APR 04 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.1E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.0/5.5/D1.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EMBEDDED CENTER IN W YIELDS 5.0. NO BANDING FEATURE
ADDITION PER DVORAK RULES. DT IS THUS 5.0. MET IS ALSO 5.0. PT IS
4.5. FINAL T BASED ON DT. CORRECTED LINE F.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TXPS41 PHFO 042347 CCB
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES...COR
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2347 UTC SAT APR 04 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.1E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.0/5.5/S0.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EMBEDDED CENTER IN W YIELDS 5.0. NO BANDING FEATURE
ADDITION PER DVORAK RULES. DT IS THUS 5.0. MET IS ALSO 5.0. PT IS
4.5. FINAL T BASED ON DT. CORRECTED LINE F...SECOND TIME.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES...COR
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2347 UTC SAT APR 04 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 04/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.1E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T5.0/5.5/S0.0/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...EMBEDDED CENTER IN W YIELDS 5.0. NO BANDING FEATURE
ADDITION PER DVORAK RULES. DT IS THUS 5.0. MET IS ALSO 5.0. PT IS
4.5. FINAL T BASED ON DT. CORRECTED LINE F...SECOND TIME.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
FKPS01 NFFN 050114
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20200405/0000Z
TCAC: NFFN
TC: HAROLD
ADVISORY NR: 2020/8
OBS PSN: 05/0000Z S1536 E16536
CB: WI 310NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL530
MOV: SSW 03KT
C: 950HPA
MAX WIND: 95KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 05/0600 S1548 E16542
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 05/1200 S1600 E16600
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 05/1800 S1612 E16612
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 06/0000 S1618 E16648
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 110KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20200405/0700Z
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20200405/0000Z
TCAC: NFFN
TC: HAROLD
ADVISORY NR: 2020/8
OBS PSN: 05/0000Z S1536 E16536
CB: WI 310NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL530
MOV: SSW 03KT
C: 950HPA
MAX WIND: 95KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 05/0600 S1548 E16542
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 05/1200 S1600 E16600
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 05/1800 S1612 E16612
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 06/0000 S1618 E16648
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 110KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20200405/0700Z
全球热带气旋监测报告
预报：柳龙生 签发：张玲 2020 年 04 月 05 日 10 时
“哈罗德”加强为南太平洋四级强热带气旋
南太平洋三级热带气旋“哈罗德”（HAROLD）已于今天（5日）早晨（北京时，下同）加强为四级强热带气旋，今天上午8点钟其中心位于斐济苏瓦（SUVA）东偏北方向约1700公里的南太平洋洋面上，就是南纬15.6度、东经165.6度，中心附近最大风力有15级（48米/秒，相当于我国的强台风级），中心最低气压为950百帕。
预计，“哈罗德”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向东南方向移动，强度将继续加强。
卫星红外监测图像
（北京时间2020年4月5日8时00分）
预报：柳龙生 签发：张玲 2020 年 04 月 05 日 10 时
“哈罗德”加强为南太平洋四级强热带气旋
南太平洋三级热带气旋“哈罗德”（HAROLD）已于今天（5日）早晨（北京时，下同）加强为四级强热带气旋，今天上午8点钟其中心位于斐济苏瓦（SUVA）东偏北方向约1700公里的南太平洋洋面上，就是南纬15.6度、东经165.6度，中心附近最大风力有15级（48米/秒，相当于我国的强台风级），中心最低气压为950百帕。
预计，“哈罗德”将以每小时10公里左右的速度向东南方向移动，强度将继续加强。
卫星红外监测图像
（北京时间2020年4月5日8时00分）
TPPS11 PGTW 052132
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 05/2030Z
C. 15.61S
D. 166.44E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09/PBO . LG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E# AND DT
(NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1719Z 15.33S 166.05E SSMS
DARLOW
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 05/2030Z
C. 15.61S
D. 166.44E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09/PBO . LG EYE SURROUNDED BY W YIELDS AN E# AND DT
(NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1719Z 15.33S 166.05E SSMS
DARLOW
TXPS41 PHFO 052331
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2331 UTC SUN APR 05 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 05/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.7E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T6.5/6.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED BY MG...THUS NO EYE ADJUSTMENT...
EMBEDDED IN CMG YIELDS A DT OF 6.5. PT AND MET AGREE. FINAL T
BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TCSSP1
SOUTH PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2331 UTC SUN APR 05 2020
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE HAROLD - (25P)
B. 05/2300Z
C. 15.6S
D. 166.7E
E. HIMAWARI
F. T6.5/6.5/D1.5/24HRS
G. VIS/IR/EIR
H. REMARKS...OW EYE SURROUNDED BY MG...THUS NO EYE ADJUSTMENT...
EMBEDDED IN CMG YIELDS A DT OF 6.5. PT AND MET AGREE. FINAL T
BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NONE.
$$
KINEL
TPPS11 PGTW 052347
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 05/2330Z
C. 15.55S
D. 166.79E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
DARLOW
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (HAROLD)
B. 05/2330Z
C. 15.55S
D. 166.79E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. LG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# AND DT (NO EYE ADJUSTMENT) OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE.
DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
DARLOW
At 8:00am local time, Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD [914hPa] Category 5, was
located at 15.6 degrees South 166.4 degrees East. This is about 90KM west of
Luganville and 130KM west northwest of Malekula. The system is positioned at
the center of square letter F, number 5 (F,5) of the Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone
Tracking Map. Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD has been moving in an east southeasterly
direction at 9KM/HR (5Knots) in the past 3 hours.
Maximum sustained winds close to the centre are estimated at 215KM/HR (115Knots).
Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD is forecast to be at 16.0 degrees South
167.7 degrees East in the next 24 to 48 hours.
located at 15.6 degrees South 166.4 degrees East. This is about 90KM west of
Luganville and 130KM west northwest of Malekula. The system is positioned at
the center of square letter F, number 5 (F,5) of the Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone
Tracking Map. Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD has been moving in an east southeasterly
direction at 9KM/HR (5Knots) in the past 3 hours.
Maximum sustained winds close to the centre are estimated at 215KM/HR (115Knots).
Severe Tropical Cyclone HAROLD is forecast to be at 16.0 degrees South
167.7 degrees East in the next 24 to 48 hours.