【讨论台风】西北太平洋台风1619艾利(Aere)
【扰动99W】http://tieba.baidu.com/p/4802395847
【低压22W】http://tieba.baidu.com/p/4809981771
WTPQ52 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1619 AERE (1619) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 19.9N 122.7E FAIR
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 20.2N 117.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 071800UTC 20.1N 115.5E 95NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 081800UTC 19.9N 114.7E 130NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 091800UTC 19.7N 113.5E 170NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
120HF 101800UTC 19.6N 111.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY =
【低压22W】http://tieba.baidu.com/p/4809981771
WTPQ52 RJTD 051800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1619 AERE (1619) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051800UTC 19.9N 122.7E FAIR
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 061800UTC 20.2N 117.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 071800UTC 20.1N 115.5E 95NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 081800UTC 19.9N 114.7E 130NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 091800UTC 19.7N 113.5E 170NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
120HF 101800UTC 19.6N 111.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY =