【讨论旋风】南印度洋旋风SH142020

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-07 17:32:00 +0800 CST

ERCing With You.

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-07 19:31:00 +0800 CST

TPXS11 PGTW 071229

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DAMIEN)

B. 07/1200Z

C. 18.63S

D. 116.69E

E. THREE/HMWRI8

F. T4.5/4.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG TO
YIELD A DT OF 4.5. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT. EYE DIAMETER 6NM.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
07/0745Z 18.20S 116.95E SSMI
07/0823Z 18.27S 116.88E SSMS

RICHARDSON

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-07 20:34:00 +0800 CST

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-07 20:43:00 +0800 CST

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-07 21:02:00 +0800 CST

Landfall intensity is forecast at 90 knots[category 4] but there remains a slight risk that further intensification into acategory 5 system may occur prior to landfall.

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-07 21:51:00 +0800 CST

FKAU03 ADRM 080026
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20200208/0000Z
TCAC: DARWIN
TC: DAMIEN
ADVISORY NR: 2020/9
OBS PSN: 08/0000Z S1942 E11624
CB: WI 100NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV: S 05KT
C: 962HPA
MAX WIND: 75KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 08/0600 S2030 E11630
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 80KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 08/1200 S2118 E11648
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 70KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 08/1800 S2154 E11706
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 50KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 09/0000 S2230 E11724
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 40KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20200208/0700Z

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 08:28:00 +0800 CST

.14S.DAMIEN.90kts.966mb.19.8S.116.4E

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 09:01:00 +0800 CST

0514z 959.9/959.7

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 13:26:00 +0800 CST

957.1956.8-

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 13:56:00 +0800 CST

14S DAMIEN 200208 0600 19.9S 116.4E SHEM 90 956

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 14:01:00 +0800 CST

08/02:00pm56.9-58.1--N891134861961.4961.2-
08/01:58pm57.4-58.6--N931135061959.6959.3-
08/01:57pm-----N951175163957.2956.9-
08/01:51pm-----N961205265959.4959.1-

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 14:07:00 +0800 CST

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 15:14:00 +0800 CST

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 15:15:00 +0800 CST

感觉已经登陆了

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 15:26:00 +0800 CST

某私人气象站点6分钟前记录到957.33hpa后就死了

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 15:58:00 +0800 CST

TPXS11 PGTW 080928

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (DAMIEN)

B. 08/0900Z

C. 20.89S

D. 116.72E

E. THREE/HMWRI8

F. N/A

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. DVORAK VALUES UNAVAILABLE
DUE TO LLCC OVER LAND.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE

RHOADES

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 17:32:00 +0800 CST

FKAU03 ADRM 081214
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20200208/1200Z
TCAC: DARWIN
TC: DAMIEN
ADVISORY NR: 2020/11
OBS PSN: 08/1200Z S2112 E11654
CB: WI 100NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL600
MOV: SSE 09KT
C: 967HPA
MAX WIND: 70KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 08/1800 S2154 E11712
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 55KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 09/0000 S2230 E11724
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 45KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 09/0600 S2300 E11736
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 40KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 09/1200 S2330 E11742
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 35KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20200208/1900Z

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 20:24:00 +0800 CST

14S DAMIEN 200208 1200 21.3S 116.9E SHEM 85 969

楼主 32778068 发布于 2020-02-08 20:45:00 +0800 CST

楼主：32778068

字数：9808字

发表时间：2020-02-06 17:13:00 +0800 CST

更新时间：2020-06-12 10:31:27 +0800 CST

评论数：869条评论

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