【讨论旋风】北印度洋气旋风暴IO022019
TPIO10 PGTW 102201
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (VAYU)
B. 10/2130Z
C. 14.34N
D. 70.60E
E. FIVE/MET8
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .60 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. PT AND MET AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
10/1650Z 13.67N 70.53E MMHS
ELIAS
JTWC这次竟然这么快就知道命名
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (VAYU)
B. 10/2130Z
C. 14.34N
D. 70.60E
E. FIVE/MET8
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .60 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. PT AND MET AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
10/1650Z 13.67N 70.53E MMHS
ELIAS
JTWC这次竟然这么快就知道命名
FKIN21 DEMS 110300
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190611/0000Z
TC: VAYU
NR: 4
PSN: N1442 E07036
MOV: N06KT
C: 0993HPA
MAX WIND: 40KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 11/0600Z N1518 E07036
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 45 KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 11/1200Z N1600 E07036
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 50KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 11/1800Z N1642E07030
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 50KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 12/0000Z N1730E07030
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 55KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190611/0900Z
TOO: 110820 HRS IST
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190611/0000Z
TC: VAYU
NR: 4
PSN: N1442 E07036
MOV: N06KT
C: 0993HPA
MAX WIND: 40KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 11/0600Z N1518 E07036
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 45 KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 11/1200Z N1600 E07036
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 50KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 11/1800Z N1642E07030
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 50KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 12/0000Z N1730E07030
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 55KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190611/0900Z
TOO: 110820 HRS IST
TXIO21 KNES 111502
TCSNIO
A. 02A (VAYU)
B. 11/1430Z
C. 16.7N
D. 70.9E
E. ONE/MET-8
F. T4.5/4.5/D1.0/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...DG EYE IS EMBEDDED IN LG AND SURROUNDED BY W RESULTING
IN A DT OF 5.5 AFTER 0.5 IS ADDED AS AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE AVERAGE DT
CALCULATED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS DOES NOT JUSTIFY BREAKING CONSTRAINTS
AT THIS TIME. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS. PT IS 5.0. MET IS 4.5 BASED
ON RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK
TCSNIO
A. 02A (VAYU)
B. 11/1430Z
C. 16.7N
D. 70.9E
E. ONE/MET-8
F. T4.5/4.5/D1.0/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...DG EYE IS EMBEDDED IN LG AND SURROUNDED BY W RESULTING
IN A DT OF 5.5 AFTER 0.5 IS ADDED AS AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. THE AVERAGE DT
CALCULATED OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS DOES NOT JUSTIFY BREAKING CONSTRAINTS
AT THIS TIME. FT IS BASED ON CONSTRAINTS. PT IS 5.0. MET IS 4.5 BASED
ON RAPID DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...TURK
2019 IO 02 162.615 2019JUN11 144500 16.72 -70.90 2 963 88
SATCON 接近90
SATCON 接近90
TPIO10 PGTW 111518
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (VAYU)
B. 11/1500Z
C. 16.68N
D. 70.85E
E. THREE/MET8
F. T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG TO
YIELD A DT OF 5.5. THE MET AND PT BOTH YIELD A 4.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
11/1341Z 16.20N 70.78E SSMS
MILAM
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A (VAYU)
B. 11/1500Z
C. 16.68N
D. 70.85E
E. THREE/MET8
F. T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. B EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. SUBTRACTED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG TO
YIELD A DT OF 5.5. THE MET AND PT BOTH YIELD A 4.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
11/1341Z 16.20N 70.78E SSMS
MILAM
FKIN21 DEMS 112244
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190611/1800Z
TC: VAYU
NR: 7
PSN: N1706 E07036
MOV: N05KT
C: 0980HPA
MAX WIND: 70KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 12/0000Z N1748 E07030
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 70 KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 12/0600Z N1836 E07030
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 75KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 12/1200Z N1924E07024
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 75KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 12/1800Z N2006E07024
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 80KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190612/0300Z
TOO: 120320 HRS IST
直接70
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190611/1800Z
TC: VAYU
NR: 7
PSN: N1706 E07036
MOV: N05KT
C: 0980HPA
MAX WIND: 70KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 12/0000Z N1748 E07030
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 70 KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 12/0600Z N1836 E07030
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 75KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 12/1200Z N1924E07024
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 75KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 12/1800Z N2006E07024
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 80KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190612/0300Z
TOO: 120320 HRS IST
直接70
TXIO21 KNES 130905
TCSNIO
A. 02A (VAYU)
B. 13/0830Z
C. 20.7N
D. 69.3E
E. ONE/MET-8
F. T5.5/5.5/D0.5/12HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...OW CENTER SURROUNDED BY W END EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTS IN
DT=5.5 AFTER +0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET=PT=5.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...BOLL
TCSNIO
A. 02A (VAYU)
B. 13/0830Z
C. 20.7N
D. 69.3E
E. ONE/MET-8
F. T5.5/5.5/D0.5/12HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...OW CENTER SURROUNDED BY W END EMBEDDED IN LG RESULTS IN
DT=5.5 AFTER +0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET=PT=5.5. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...BOLL
FKIN21 DEMS 131153
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190613/0600Z
TC: VAYU
NR: 13
PSN: N2030 E06918
MOV: NW06KT
C: 0978HPA
MAX WIND: 80KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 13/1200Z N2100 E06900
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 80 KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 13/1800Z N2118 E06842
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 80KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 14/0000Z N2130 E06824
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 80KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 14/0600Z N2142 E06806
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 70KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190613/1500Z
TOO: 131640 HRS IST
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190613/0600Z
TC: VAYU
NR: 13
PSN: N2030 E06918
MOV: NW06KT
C: 0978HPA
MAX WIND: 80KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 13/1200Z N2100 E06900
FCST MAX WIND +6HRS: 80 KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 13/1800Z N2118 E06842
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 80KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 14/0000Z N2130 E06824
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 80KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 14/0600Z N2142 E06806
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 70KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20190613/1500Z
TOO: 131640 HRS IST
TXIO21 KNES 131517
TCSNIO
A. 02A (VAYU)
B. 13/1430Z
C. 20.8N
D. 69.0E
E. ONE/MET-8
F. T5.5/5.5/D0.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY AN OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND
EMBEDDED IN LG FOR A DT=5.5 AFTER ADDING 0.5 FOR AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET
AND PT AGREE. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...FISHER
TCSNIO
A. 02A (VAYU)
B. 13/1430Z
C. 20.8N
D. 69.0E
E. ONE/MET-8
F. T5.5/5.5/D0.5/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY AN OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B AND
EMBEDDED IN LG FOR A DT=5.5 AFTER ADDING 0.5 FOR AN EYE ADJUSTMENT. MET
AND PT AGREE. FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...FISHER