【讨论风暴】北太平洋温带气旋NP08-20181227

炸弹低压,OPC预报24h内935-
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW 42N164E 978 MB MOVING NE 35 KT FOR 12
HOURS THEN TURNING WNW. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 480 NM SE
QUADRANT WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 10 20 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 43N
W OF 175E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N165E 953 MB. WITHIN 360 NM N AND NE
QUADRANTS AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 20 TO
36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 51N160E 934 MB. WITHIN 180 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 30 TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
54N169E TO 50N180W WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 30 FT. ALSO
WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 300 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
54N169E TO 50N180W AND WITHIN 300 NM E OF A LINE FROM 50N180W TO
40N179E TO 30N171E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 47N154E 957 MB. WITHIN 1320 NM
SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 30 FT.



楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-28 06:27:00 +0800 CST  
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 976 HPA
AT 42N 164E FAR OFF EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NNE 40 KNOTS.
WARM FRONT FROM 42N 164E TO 40N 169E 34N 171E.
COLD FRONT FROM 42N 164E TO 38N 162E 35N 157E 32N 153E 30N 149E.
WINDS 30 TO 45 KNOTS WITHIN 1100 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1400 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 49N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 51N 161E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 130
MILES RADIUS.



楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-28 06:33:00 +0800 CST  
JMA认定风速已增强至55kt,继续上望70kt
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 964 HPA
AT 45N 167E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NORTH 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 45N 167E TO 44N 169E 41N 170E.
WARM FRONT FROM 41N 170E TO 39N 173E 36N 174E.
COLD FRONT FROM 41N 170E TO 36N 166E 32N 160E 27N 154E 24N 146E.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND
600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1500 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 50N 163E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 50N 158E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.


楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-28 11:12:00 +0800 CST  
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 46N167E 966 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. WITHIN 300 NM N AND
NE...720 NM SE...AND 180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS
18 TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 54N BETWEEN 178E AND 162E
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N165E 957 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N...240 NM
NE...AND 120 NM S QUADRANTS...AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE OF
A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 49N170E TO 44N174E WINDS 55 TO 70 KT.
SEAS 22 TO 36 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 49N157E 944 MB. OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 40N TO 45N W OF 163E AND FROM 52N TO 55N W OF 179W
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1260 NM SE
QUADRANT AND NW OF A LINE FROM 51N173E TO 52N173W WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 12 TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 45N154E 974 MB. WITHIN 1320 NM
SE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 29 FT.



楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-28 11:50:00 +0800 CST  
JMA: 65kt

STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 958 HPA
AT 49N 166E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING NW 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 49N 166E TO 46N 174E 42N 175E.
WARM FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 39N 177E 36N 178E.
COLD FRONT FROM 42N 175E TO 35N 170E 32N 165E 28N 160E 23N 150E.
WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND
600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 6 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 50N 155E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.



楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-28 19:02:00 +0800 CST  
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 49N166E 960 MB MOVING W 20 KT. FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW
TO 46N172E TO 39N175E TO 30N161E. WITHIN 180 NM NE OF THE FRONT
N OF 44N AND WITHIN 90 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 70 KT. SEAS 22
TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM N AND
NE QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 240 NM E OF THE FRONT WINDS 40 TO 55
KT. SEAS 14 TO 24 FT. ALSO WITHIN 420 NM N AND NE...720 NM
SE...AND 420 NM SW QUADRANTS AND 420 NM E OF THE FRONT WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 49N155E 952 MB. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 900 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 TO
32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 44N156E 976 MB. FROM 32N TO 39N
W OF 176W WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 28 FT.


然而浙个温气死了

楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-28 19:05:00 +0800 CST  
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 938 HPA
AT 50N 163E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 1100 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 70 KNOTS WITHIN 1200 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 1100 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 51N 157E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 48N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.



收回楼上的话……

楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-29 01:16:00 +0800 CST  
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 50N162E 944 MB MOVING SW 20 KT. FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOW
TO 52N167E TO 48N176E TO 39N177E TO 30N165E. WITHIN 180 NM NE OF
THE FRONT N OF 50N AND WITHIN 90 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 55 TO 70
KT. SEAS 24 TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE OF THE FRONT N
OF 34N AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 TO 24
FT...EXCEPT SE SEMICIRCLE SEAS 20 TO 32 FT. ALSO WITHIN 660 NM
NE ...420 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 420 NM E OF THE FRONT S OF 50N
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 47N154E 952 MB. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 1080 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO
28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 42N158E 979 MB. WITHIN 1200 NM
SE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 28 FT.



楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-29 01:18:00 +0800 CST  
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 934 HPA
AT 50N 160E SEA EAST OF KURILS MOVING WNW 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 65 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 600 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 50N 154E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 46N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 972 HPA AT 44N 155E.


楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-29 06:00:00 +0800 CST  
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW W OF AREA 50N159E 938 MB MOVING SW 20 KT. WITHIN 120 NM SE
QUADRANT WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 30 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A FRONT FROM 54N169E
TO 50N177E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 32 FT...HIGHEST NEAR
54N169E. ALSO WITHIN 420 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM NE AND E OF A
FRONT FROM 54N169E TO 49N179E AND 480 NM E OF A FRONT FROM
49N179E TO 37N179E TO 30N166E WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 24
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA 46N155E 959 MB. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WITHIN 1200 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 TO
28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N162E 980 MB. WITHIN 1080 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 22 TO 32 FT.



楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-29 06:01:00 +0800 CST  
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 940 HPA
AT 50N 157E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING WSW 20 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST
SEMICIRCLE AND 500 MILES ELSEWHERE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 48N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 50
MILES RADIUS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 45N 153E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 85
MILES RADIUS.
JMA判定锢囚,本贴不再(lande)更新

楼主 ghji23h  发布于 2018-12-29 10:35:00 +0800 CST  

楼主:ghji23h

字数:7136

发表时间:2018-12-28 14:27:00 +0800 CST

更新时间:2019-04-01 08:13:48 +0800 CST

评论数:39条评论

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