【TNABO】迪士尼《奇幻森林》资讯/新闻/口碑/票房 追踪专贴








蓝光碟宣传视频

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-07-10 19:41:00 +0800 CST  


基本公认的视效奖头号种子

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-07-10 19:49:00 +0800 CST  
加馆效果明显,周末可以逆跌100%

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-07-16 23:19:00 +0800 CST  
果然逆跌100%

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-07-17 23:41:00 +0800 CST  
迪士尼要拍火箭手续集?开什么玩笑

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-07-29 00:58:00 +0800 CST  
本周末由于几乎没减馆继续低跌幅,最近几周成绩与沉睡类似,但工作日更强
按沉睡余量,奇幻最终的最好成绩可以接近364M

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-07-30 23:47:00 +0800 CST  



前期口碑不错

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-08-11 19:01:00 +0800 CST  
Obon Festival 2016 (August 11th-16th)

Thursday Estimates (08/11)
¥305,000,000 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥305,000,000 ($3.0 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) NEW
¥205,000,000 ($2.0 million), +89%, ¥2,700,000,000 ($26.1 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) Day 14
¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) NEW
¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million), +57%, ¥4,830,000,000 ($46.7 million), Finding Dory (Disney) Day 27
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), +86%, ¥3,430,000,000 ($32.8 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) Day 21
¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) NEW
¥75,000,000 ($735,000), 0, ¥470,000,000 ($4.6 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) Day 6
¥65,000,000 ($635,000), 0, ¥355,000,000 ($3.5 million), Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (Toei) Day 6
¥45,000,000 ($440,000), +56%, ¥1,460,000,000 ($13.8 million), Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (Toho) Day 27
¥35,000,000 ($345,000), 0, ¥255,000,000 ($2.5 million), Himitsu: The Top Secret (Shochiku) Day 6

Friday Estimates (08/12)
¥220,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥525,000,000 ($5.2 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) Day 2
¥170,000,000 ($1.7 million), +38%, ¥2,870,000,000 ($27.8 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) Day 15
¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), +33%, ¥4,960,000,000 ($48.0 million), Finding Dory (Disney) Day 28
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥300,000,000 ($2.9 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) Day 2
¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), +73%, ¥3,545,000,000 ($33.9 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) Day 22
¥70,000,000 ($690,000), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) Day 2
¥60,000,000 ($590,000), 0, ¥530,000,000 ($5.1 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) Day 7
¥40,000,000 ($395,000), +44%, ¥1,500,000,000 ($14.2 million), Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (Toho) Day 28
¥35,000,000 ($345,000), 0, ¥390,000,000 ($3.8 million), Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (Toei) Day 7
¥30,000,000 ($295,000), 0, ¥285,000,000 ($2.8 million), Himitsu: The Top Secret (Shochiku) Day 7

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-08-13 09:18:00 +0800 CST  
Early Weekend Projections:

¥475-525 million ($4.7-5.2 million) - The Secret Life of Pets (NEW)
¥475-525 million ($4.7-5.2 million) - Shin Godzilla (WK3)
¥350-400 million ($3.5-4.0 million) - Finding Dory (WK5)
¥325-375 million ($3.2-3.6 million) - The Jungle Book (NEW)
¥300-350 million ($3.0-3.4 million) - One Piece Film Gold (WK4)
¥150-175 million ($1.5-1.7 million) - Rudolph to Ippaitenna (WK2)
¥125-150 million ($1.2-1.5 million) - X-Men: Apocalypse (NEW)
¥100-125 million ($1.0-1.2 million) - Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (WK2)
¥90-95 million ($900,000-950,000) - Pokemon XY&Z (WK5)


最终全球收于970-980M

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-08-13 13:53:00 +0800 CST  
Obon Festival 2016 (August 11th-16th)

Thursday Estimates (08/11)
¥305,000,000 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥305,000,000 ($3.0 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) NEW
¥205,000,000 ($2.0 million), +89%, ¥2,700,000,000 ($26.1 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) Day 14
¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) NEW
¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million), +57%, ¥4,830,000,000 ($46.7 million), Finding Dory (Disney) Day 27
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), +86%, ¥3,430,000,000 ($32.8 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) Day 20
¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) NEW
¥75,000,000 ($735,000), 0, ¥470,000,000 ($4.6 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) Day 6
¥65,000,000 ($635,000), 0, ¥355,000,000 ($3.5 million), Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (Toei) Day 6
¥45,000,000 ($440,000), +56%, ¥1,460,000,000 ($13.8 million), Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (Toho) Day 27
¥35,000,000 ($345,000), 0, ¥255,000,000 ($2.5 million), Himitsu: The Top Secret (Shochiku) Day 6

Friday Estimates (08/12)
¥220,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥525,000,000 ($5.2 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) Day 2
¥170,000,000 ($1.7 million), +38%, ¥2,870,000,000 ($27.8 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) Day 15
¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), +33%, ¥4,960,000,000 ($48.0 million), Finding Dory (Disney) Day 28
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥300,000,000 ($2.9 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) Day 2
¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), +73%, ¥3,545,000,000 ($33.9 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) Day 21
¥70,000,000 ($690,000), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) Day 2
¥60,000,000 ($590,000), 0, ¥530,000,000 ($5.1 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) Day 7
¥40,000,000 ($395,000), +44%, ¥1,500,000,000 ($14.2 million), Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (Toho) Day 28
¥35,000,000 ($345,000), 0, ¥390,000,000 ($3.8 million), Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (Toei) Day 7
¥30,000,000 ($295,000), 0, ¥285,000,000 ($2.8 million), Himitsu: The Top Secret (Shochiku) Day 7

Saturday Estimates (08/13)
¥215,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥740,000,000 ($7.3 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) Day 3
¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), -18%, ¥3,070,000,000 ($29.7 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) Day 16
¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥435,000,000 ($4.2 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) Day 3
¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), +31%, ¥3,675,000,000 ($35.1 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) Day 22
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), +04%, ¥5,085,000,000 ($49.2 million), Finding Dory (Disney) Day 29
¥75,000,000 ($740,000), 0, ¥250,000,000 ($2.4 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) Day 3
¥55,000,000 ($540,000), -31%, ¥585,000,000 ($5.7 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) Day 8
¥45,000,000 ($445,000), -56%, ¥435,000,000 ($4.2 million), Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (Toei) Day 8
¥30,000,000 ($295,000), +08%, ¥1,530,000,000 ($14.5 million), Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (Toho) Day 29
¥30,000,000 ($295,000), 0, ¥30,000,000 ($295,000 ), Aikatsu Stars! The Movie (Toei) NEW

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-08-14 00:42:00 +0800 CST  
Weekend Estimates (08/13-14)/2016年08月13日-2016年08月14日
01 (---) ¥510,000,000 ($5.0 million), 0, ¥1,035,000,000 ($10.2 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) NEW
02 (01) ¥490,000,000 ($4.8 million), -09%, ¥3,360,000,000 ($32.6 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK3
03 (02) ¥325,000,000 ($3.2 million), -02%, ¥5,285,000,000 ($51.2 million), Finding Dory (Disney) WK5
04 (03) ¥320,000,000 ($3.1 million), +16%, ¥3,865,000,000 ($37.0 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) WK4
05 (---) ¥315,000,000 ($3.1 million), 0, ¥615,000,000 ($6.0 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) NEW
06 (---) ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥335,000,000 ($3.3 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) NEW
07 (05) ¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), -27%, ¥665,000,000 ($6.4 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) WK2
08 (04) ¥95,000,000 ($935,000), -55%, ¥485,000,000 ($4.7 million), Kamen Rider Ghost the Movie (Toei) WK2
09 (07) ¥85,000,000 ($840,000), -03%, ¥1,585,000,000 ($15.0 million), Pokemon XY&Z: Volcanion and the Mechanical Magearna (Toho) WK4
10 (06) ¥75,000,000 ($740,000), -43%, ¥360,000,000 ($3.5 million), Himitsu: The Top Secret (Shochiku) WK2

>The Secret Life of Pets is off to a very strong start, and appears to have dethroned Godzilla from atop the box office throne over the weekend. Illumination has made a name for themselves thanks to the success of Despicable Me, but mostly those minions, and it clearly proves true with this debut.

If the estimates is accurate, it'll have only came in 7% lower than Minions from last year, achieving the second biggest opening weekend for a non-Disney/Pixar imported animated film in the market. Minions opened a week earlier in the summer, so I don't expect Pets' legs to match those, but there is still plenty of summer vacation to go, so I expect a total north of ¥4 billion ($40 million+); that'd easily be enough to claim the title of second highest-grossing non-Disney/Pixar imported animated film in the market, after Minions.

>Shin Godzilla holds strong in its third weekend and delivers yet another incredible weekend. There is a scenario in which it could still claim a third-consecutive week atop the box office (if Pets skewed really young, driving its avg. ticket price down), but if not, a third weekend of this level is very good. After three weeks, it's already outgrossed Hollywood's 2014 film, and continues along a reasonable path to exceed the ¥5 billion ($50 million) blockbuster milestone.

>Finding Dory also experiences a strong hold, in its fifth weekend, and has exceeded the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone. It does, however, continue to trail Monsters University, now back by about 9% based on estimates after five weeks. Its projected finish remains unchanged as a result, so expect Dory to finish just above the ¥8 billion ($75 million) milestone.

>One Piece Film Gold enjoys a healthy weekend increase in its fourth week, and likely secured it a total above the ¥5 billion ($50 million) blockbuster milestone in the process.

>The Jungle Book experienced a pretty slow start, but I don't believe the property had a lot of potential in the market itself (to warrant blockbuster predictions). The debut is decent, but I doubt it'll be enough to push the film above the $1 billion worldwide milestone, as a total around ¥3 billion ($30 million) is likely its limit here.

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-08-15 07:33:00 +0800 CST  
Weekend Estimates (08/20-21)
01 (02) ¥349,000,000 ($3.5 million), -18%, ¥4,350,000,000 ($42.5 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK4
02 (01) ¥331,000,000 ($3.3 million), -29%, ¥2,215,000,000 ($22.0 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK2
03 (---) ¥225,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥400,000,000 ($4.0 million), Ghostbusters (Sony) NEW
04 (03) ¥199,000,000 ($2.0 million), -34%, ¥1,360,000,000 ($13.4 million), The Jungle Book (Disney) WK2
05 (---) ¥185,000,000 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥185,000,000 ($1.8 million), Yell for the Blue Sky (Toho) NEW
06 (04) ¥171,000,000 ($1.7 million), -40%, ¥5,975,000,000 ($58.0 million), Finding Dory (Disney) WK6
07 (05) ¥146,000,000 ($1.4 million), -47%, ¥4,425,000,000 ($42.7 million), One Piece Film Gold (Toei) WK5
08 (---) ¥100,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), Kizumonogatari Part 2: Passionate Blood (Toho Video Division) NEW
09 (07) ¥80,000,000 ($800,000), -38%, ¥980,000,000 ($9.7 million), Rudolph to Ippaiattena (Toho) WK3
10 (06) ¥67,000,000 ($670,000), -56%, ¥600,000,000 ($5.9 million), X-Men: Apocalypse (Fox) WK2

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2016-08-22 00:43:00 +0800 CST  
奥斯卡最佳视觉效果奖拿下

楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2017-02-27 11:33:00 +0800 CST  


楼主 防弹松鼠  发布于 2017-02-27 18:47:00 +0800 CST  

楼主:防弹松鼠

字数:60363

发表时间:2016-04-02 08:00:00 +0800 CST

更新时间:2017-03-21 09:43:02 +0800 CST

评论数:4211条评论

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