【讨论飓风】北大西洋飓风AL292020

今晚将开始实测


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-06 13:19:00 +0800 CST  
zdf新闻:中美洲至少死亡70人

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 00:21:00 +0800 CST  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS


INIT 06/1500Z 17.8N 87.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 07/0000Z 18.6N 85.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 07/1200Z 19.7N 83.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 08/0000Z 21.0N 81.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 08/1200Z 22.7N 79.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
60H 09/0000Z 24.1N 80.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
72H 09/1200Z 25.0N 81.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 10/1200Z 25.5N 84.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 11/1200Z 26.5N 85.0W 50 KT 60 MPH


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 00:34:00 +0800 CST  
第一架近地面飞了两圈找中心,第二架直接中层飞中心扔投落仪
(巅峰那会咋不像这样梦幻联动呢





楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 05:07:00 +0800 CST  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS


INIT 07/0300Z 18.0N 85.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 07/1200Z 19.0N 83.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 08/0000Z 20.3N 81.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 08/1200Z 21.9N 79.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/0000Z 24.0N 79.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
60H 09/1200Z 25.0N 81.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 10/0000Z 25.2N 82.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 11/0000Z 26.0N 84.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 12/0000Z 27.0N 84.7W 45 KT 50 MPH


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 12:33:00 +0800 CST  
...ETA REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS THE CENTER REFORMS TO THE NORTHEAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 23:01:00 +0800 CST  


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 23:12:00 +0800 CST  
150800 1930N 08142W 9231 00726 0019 +218 +216 024057 060 055 001 01


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-07 23:22:00 +0800 CST  
153230 1938N 08141W 8425 01484 9999 +165 //// 011045 052 054 022 01
153300 1937N 08140W 8427 01470 9989 +177 //// 002040 042 058 013 05
153600 1937N 08129W 8432 01438 9923 +216 +162 247031 035 026 001 03
154330 1936N 08141W 8444 01462 9980 +182 //// 349052 058 050 002 01
154400 1935N 08143W 8433 01475 9976 +206 +175 340045 052 052 000 03


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 00:13:00 +0800 CST  
NHC issuing advisories for the Atlantic on Hurricane Eta
!!!

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 00:15:00 +0800 CST  
WTNT64 KNHC 071614 CCA
TCUAT4


Tropical Storm Eta Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
1100 AM EST Sat Nov 07 2020


Corrected storm type header


...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND STRONGER WINDS
IN ETA...


Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that the maximum sustained winds in Eta have increased to 50 mph.
The plane is still investigating Eta at this time. If it finds
stronger winds, a special advisory may be required during the next
hour or two.


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EST...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 81.5W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


$$
Forecaster Beven

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 00:16:00 +0800 CST  


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 00:31:00 +0800 CST  
163130 1835N 08048W 8443 01508 0061 +176 +176 211058 061 055 046 03
163200 1835N 08046W 8408 01542 0062 +178 +178 204063 072 043 060 03


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 00:52:00 +0800 CST  
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0300Z 20.7N 79.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 08/1200Z 22.1N 79.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
24H 09/0000Z 23.8N 79.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...OVER WATER
36H 09/1200Z 24.9N 81.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 10/0000Z 25.0N 83.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 10/1200Z 25.0N 84.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 11/0000Z 25.5N 84.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 12/0000Z 26.0N 84.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 13/0000Z 27.0N 84.0W 45 KT 50 MPH


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 11:03:00 +0800 CST  
今天开始风切将逐渐减弱


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 11:12:00 +0800 CST  
古巴气象局预报


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 14:08:00 +0800 CST  
NHC:The shear is expected to lessen when thestorm moves over the Straits of Florida, and that could allow Eta tobecome more symmetric and strengthen, and it could become ahurricane as it approaches the Florida Keys tonight.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS


INIT 08/0900Z 21.5N 79.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 08/1800Z 23.0N 79.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 09/0600Z 24.5N 81.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 09/1800Z 24.3N 83.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 10/0600Z 24.2N 84.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 10/1800Z 24.2N 85.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 11/0600Z 24.6N 85.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 12/0600Z 25.8N 85.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 13/0600Z 26.7N 84.4W 50 KT 60 MPH


楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 17:58:00 +0800 CST  
NHC判定09Z登陆古巴,登陆强度55/991
WTNT34 KNHC 080847
TCPAT4


BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
400 AM EST Sun Nov 08 2020


...ETA MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...
...FORECAST TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODS AND
STRONG WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND FLORIDA...




SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 79.3W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM S OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 18:08:00 +0800 CST  
144130 2240N 07821W 8418 01505 0010 +166 +163 194060 062 048 000 00
144200 2241N 07823W 8417 01501 0004 +165 //// 199053 058 051 000 01
144730 2246N 07845W 8417 01459 9934 +211 +147 187018 021 025 000 00

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 22:56:00 +0800 CST  
145930 2252N 07840W 8418 01461 9931 +215 +143 174026 029 /// /// 03

楼主 1007圆规  发布于 2020-11-08 23:01:00 +0800 CST  

楼主:1007圆规

字数:12354

发表时间:2020-11-01 12:00:00 +0800 CST

更新时间:2020-11-15 19:32:17 +0800 CST

评论数:2528条评论

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